09/29/2023 6:00 AM Current Market Spot Prices: | Gold: $1,872.85/ozt | Silver: $23.10/ozt | Platinum: $934.83/ozt | Palladium: $1,316.53/ozt |
Winnipeg Free Press - PRINT EDITION
By: Martin Cash
Posted: 02/9/2011 1:00 AM
KMG sees dramatic growth
MICHAEL Gupton wants to buy your gold, but he does not want to be associated with the TV hucksters who are all over cable television these days.
Gupton has just moved his three-year-old home business, KMG Gold Recycling, into commercial space near Winnipeg's Confusion Corner because of the phenomenal growth he's had over the last three years.
Michael Gupton holds remains of rings and coins brought in by sellers. (PHIL.HOSSACK@FREEPRESS.MB.CA)
Tips to sell your precious metals
$1 worth of old U.S or Canadian silver nickels, dimes, 50-cent pieces or silver dollars is worth about $13.
Try to determine how much precious metal is contained in the objects you're selling.
Most jewelry would be either 10- or 14-karat gold. Pure gold is 24 karats, so 10-karat gold is about 41.7 per cent gold.
You can get a fair approximation of the weight by using a kitchen countertop scale accurate to the hundredths of an ounce.
But there has also been dramatic growth in business in general, dominated, it seems, by garish sales pitches from operators that may give some of us pause.
Gupton, a former gold prospector, claims to pay the highest prices in Canada -- no less than 81 per cent of market prices for precious metals.
As well as honesty and integrity -- KMG won a marketplace excellence award in 2010 from the Better Business Bureau -- Gupton says he offers higher prices partly because he has access to his own refinery.
"We try to educate the consumer," Gupton said.
"It they want the most money, they have to deliver their metal to a refinery."
KMG pays a minimum of 81 per cent (there was another operator offering 80 per cent in the fiercely competitive Vancouver market) if Gupton does his own speculation as to the quantity of precious metal contained in a piece of jewelry or metal object.
But he'll pay 97 or 98 per cent if he sends it off to his own refinery on the West Coast (the customer does have to pay a refinery fee).
His business regularly accesses enough material to produce between 100 and 200 ounces of fine gold every two weeks. At $1,350 an ounce, that's worth as much as $270,000.
Gupton says he stands by his claim of paying more than anyone else in the business because he has sent metal off to some of the others. On lots that he has paid $100, he said others have offered him between $20 and $50.
He said he was surprised one company that paid him only $50 was one of the country's oldest and most prestigious jewelry retailers.
Gupton said the fact his company runs its own refinery adds a level of integration others can't provide and a level of certainty that lets KMG pay a higher price.
"We are a primary refinery," he said.
"When we melt the metal down, the zinc, tin, lead, manganese and other metals are boiled off and we are left with ingots that are predominantly gold, silver and copper."
That is then sold to a secondary refinery that produces pure gold and silver and then it is sold back into the market to jewellers and the mint.
Christine Aquino, director of marketing for the Royal Canadian Mint, said the Crown corporation does buy precious metals from the secondary market.
"The amount we buy depends on our own capacity and also the quality of the metal," she said. "We have certain programs on the go, but when we have the capacity we will buy on the secondary market."
This article was first published in 2007. KMG Gold Recycling
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"...It's clear Bernanke's been dealt a bad hand by the Maestro. But will the gold market fold, raise, or call his bluff...?" GOLD'S bull market continues, the noisy setbacks of "hot money" aside. And as the price keeps on rising, so more and more private investors - looking to put their money to work after 6 years watching gold outperform stocks and bonds - are joining the search for information and advice on the metal. But plain facts about gold are just as hard to come by as they are when you're trading equities or bonds. Falling for the No.1 gold myth, for instance, would have cost you 14 cents in the Dollar at today's prices. It signaled "sell" back in October last year - and it signaled "sell" again on Tuesday this week, just before gold shot 3.5% higher in one session to reach levels last seen at the quarter-century peaks of May 2006. "Gold's bull market is all about oil" Listen to any pundit or metals analyst talking about the price of gold today, and chances are they'll tell you to watch oil. The price of crude, in fact, has become crucial to the bull market in gold - or so you might think. "We need oil to break and hold above $60 for gold to rise further," agree the traders and dealers interviewed by Reuters and Bloomberg each day. Yet by mid-February, oil had failed to hold above $60 per barrel. Gold, on the other hand, stood nearly 10% higher from when oil's bull market broke down last fall.
What link there is failed to hold firm even during the "commodity bull" that saw hedge funds pile into both oil and gold over the last half-decade or so. Crude oil first turned higher in 1999; gold didn't get started until 2001. Oil's major leg up began in 2002 and peaked in mid-2006; gold's uptrend remains rock-solid today. More importantly for active gold traders, short-term fluctuations in the gold price have next-to-nothing to do with movements in oil. From 1983 to 2006, the average correlation between their weekly price changes was a mere 0.10. Yes, the connexion improves if you look at the three years ending Dec. '06. It rises to 0.33. But the correlation would be nearer to 1.00 if gold really was "all about oil". Gold doesn't rely on base metals, either Compare gold with base metals, and it's the same story. Even though the correlation of gold with copper, zinc, nickel, aluminum and the rest has been nearly twice as great since the early '80s as gold's link with oil, it remains low - below 0.2 on average. What's more, both the oil and base-metal correlations have varied massively over time. Going from 2006 into '07 they ranged well above the historic norm. But the correlation still says other factors are more important than oil. With oil struggling this month as gold moves higher, the long-run correlation of just 0.10 - suggesting a causal link of only 1% according to the principles of statistical analysis - could be making a comeback. Pundits who tell you otherwise, claiming that gold's all about oil, make the classic mistake of confusing recent events for a law of nature. It's not just recent history that creates misinformation in the gold market, however. The major newswires and leading newspapers cite gold as an "inflation hedge" every time they mention the metal. "Gold's allure as a hedge against inflation grew after [the] big rise in January consumer prices in the Gold's stellar run up to $850 per ounce came that same decade, ending with the all-time high hit in January 1980. Therefore gold must deliver its strongest returns when the cost of living is shooting higher. Right? Wrong. "Those that think gold always acts as an inflation hedge are simply mistaken," as Mike Shedlock of Global Economic Trend Analysis puts it. Just look at the last quarter century. How gold dropped 15% of its value over 25 years Consumer prices in the How to square this fact with gold's huge returns in the '70s? Perhaps gold only responds to rapid inflation, you might think - the nasty kind we got three decades ago, rather than the "mild" case our money has suffered since then. But you'd be wrong again. Between 1980 and '81, In the mid-70s, Professor Roy Jastram of the In the What changed at the start of the 1980s? In two words, Paul Volcker. The key thing to watch isn't the rate of inflation, not by itself. You need to watch the gap between Fed interest rates and inflation instead.
Real interest rates paid on US Dollar accounts averaged just 0.01% between Jan.1970 and Dec.1979. That lack of decent returns made gold attractive on a relative basis. In truth, it only made gold less burdensome. Gold pays no interest, remember. Indeed, gold costs you to hold it, either by rolling forward futures contracts to maintain a paper position, or through storage and insurance fees on physical bullion. Yes, these costs can be vanishingly small today, thanks to ground-breaking gold investment services such as BullionVault.com for instance. But gold still fails to pay investors any kind of dividend. And the gap between inflation and interest rates has to reach absurd levels to make gold worth holding. That's just what happened in the '70s. It's what's happened in the 21st century so far as well. The real rate of interest, the gap between CPI inflation and the Fed's official interest rate, has averaged just 0.47% since the start of 2000. Real rates during the '90s stood almost four times as high - and gold fell by one third. Measured against CPI inflation, in fact, its purchasing power dropped by one half. So what to make of the upturn in real Dollar rates starting two years ago? By the end of 2006, "Will you keep raising interest rates to defend the Dollar, pay a decent return to It's clear that Bernanke's been dealt a bad hand by the Maestro. But will the gold market now fold, raise, or call his bluff? By : |